- The Pirates are -170 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: FDMW | SNPT
The St. Louis Cardinals (+140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-170) on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 47-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 43-42 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 5-4, 4.45 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 4-7, 2.13 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -120 | +140 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 +100 | -170 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Victor Scott II has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
- Spencer Horwitz has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+10.60 Units / 106% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 29 away games (+15.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 63 games (+12.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 86 games (+9.02 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+14.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+13.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+10.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.10 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 48-38 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 4.73% ROI).
- 47-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 7.15% ROI
- 44-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 2.22% ROI
- 38-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.4 Units / -11.01% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 43-42 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -4.95% ROI).
- 36-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -10.06% ROI
- 36-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.5 Units / -16.35% ROI
- 47-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 8.26% ROI
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adam Frazier (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Horwitz (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (182/285) against Andre Pallante this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (61/97) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Andre Pallante has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 53% (288/541) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (218/310) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .177 (67-for-378) against Paul Skenes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed an OBP of just .210 (176 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed an OBP of just .240 (409 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 97th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed an OPS of just .515 (409 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 39-3 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Cardinals are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Cardinals are 34-23 (.596) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals are 103-5 (.954) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 1-16 (.059) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The Pirates are just 0-44 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Pirates are just 10-67 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 8-53 (.131) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cardinals are batting .265 at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 47% against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cardinals hitters have 54 extra-base hits out of 165 total hits (just 33%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .206 when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .319 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Pirates have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Pirates hitters have put just 26% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 54% of the time this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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