- The Cardinals are -140 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Pirates starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The St. Louis Cardinals (-140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 25-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 29-26 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +120 | O 9.5 -115 | -140 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -145 | U 9.5 -105 | +115 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 60.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.35 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 65% ROI)
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roansy Contreras | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.95 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 25-32 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -14.31% ROI).
- 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.65 Units / -23.07% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -5.84% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -2.78% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 29-26 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- 28-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 8.21% ROI
- 26-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -3.88% ROI
- 26-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -3.48% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has walked 34 of 252 batters (14%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .340 (141 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .511 (94 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .371 (251 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — second Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roansy Contreras has struck out just 9% (10/106) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Roansy Contreras has located his pitches away 67% of the time (923/1,388) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras has thrown his slider 65% of the time (149/229) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total SL; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras has walked 10 of 54 batters (18%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Cardinals are 23-5 (.821) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 31-23 (.574) after a road loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .135.
The Pirates are 18-2 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Pirates are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Pirates are just 4-104 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,849 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Cardinals are just 18-36 (.321) against the run line (-39.1% ROI) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,459 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Pirates hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Pirates are batting just .228 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 772 of 8,310 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Pirates pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Carlos Santana (Pirates): Lumbar Spine, Day-to-Day
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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