- The Cardinals are -140 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Pirates starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The St. Louis Cardinals (-140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 25-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 30-26 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +110 | O 9.5 -120 | -140 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -135 | U 9.5 +100 | +115 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+11.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+11.40 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.50 Units / 53% ROI)
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Ortiz | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+2.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 53 games (+7.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+4.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 25-33 against the Run Line (-11.55 Units / -15.46% ROI).
- 25-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.05 Units / -24.45% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -4.17% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -4.37% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 30-26 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -1.68% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 10% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -2.19% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -5.13% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .412 (14-for-34) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 16th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .460 (114 Total Bases / 248 ABs) this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — 14th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .282 (70-for-248) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — seventh Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 15% (11/72) against Jordan Montgomery when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has walked 4 of 27 left-handed batters (15%) — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 10% — 17th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has struck out just 15% (4/27) of left-handed batters he faced — tied for 10th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 19th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has walked 8 of 47 left-handed batters (17%) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (22/99) against Luis Ortiz — 10th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — 11th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are 23-5 (.821) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Cardinals are 63-17 (.788) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Pirates are just 4-104 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Pirates are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .137.
The Pirates are just 9-98 (.084) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,855 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Cardinals are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .737 (2,602 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Pirates are batting just .149 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .228 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Pirates are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 777 of 8,354 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 286 of 3,312 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Pirates have won just 31% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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