- The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: FDMW | SNPT
The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on Monday, June 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 47-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 42-42 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 3-7, 4.11 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 3-7, 4.50 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -120 | -110 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -185 | U 9 +100 | -110 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+17.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+11.40 Units / 114% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Horwitz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+11.60 Units / 129% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.90 Units / 272% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 28 away games (+16.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 62 games (+13.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+10.02 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+14.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games (+13.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 73 games (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 48-37 against the Run Line (+6.5 Units / 5.64% ROI).
- 47-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 8.35% ROI
- 44-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 3.53% ROI
- 37-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -12.2% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 42-42 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -5.95% ROI).
- 35-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -11.24% ROI
- 36-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -15.28% ROI
- 46-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 7.28% ROI
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Thomas Saggese (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (PIT) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 16% (14 SO in 86 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde had a strike rate of just 57% (522/908) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .185 (10-for-54) against Erick Fedde on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .335 — 98th Percentile.
Erick Fedde has allowed an OBP of .473 (91 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (12 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — 92nd Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown inside pitches 40% of the time (155/392) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of just .214 (18 Total Bases / 84 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .412 — 100th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has an average fastball velocity of just 90.1 MPH this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.0 — fourth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 39-3 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .870.
The Cardinals are 23-14 (.622) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals are 103-5 (.954) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Cardinals are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 1-16 (.059) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.
The Pirates are just 0-44 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Pirates are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Pirates are just 10-67 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals hitters had 313 extra-base hits out of 991 total hits (just 32%) against RHP in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Cardinals are batting .265 at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cardinals hitters have 54 extra-base hits out of 165 total hits (just 33%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .602 (1,520 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Pirates are batting just .207 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Pirates are batting just .205 when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Pirates hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 142 total hits (just 27%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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