- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Pirates starting pitcher: Richard Hill
- Watch the game on Peacock
The St. Louis Cardinals () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Pittsburgh.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 25-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 31-26 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+13.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+10.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rich Hill | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 54 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+5.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 25-34 against the Run Line (-12.55 Units / -16.58% ROI).
- 25-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -25.83% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -5.87% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -2.77% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 31-26 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.33% ROI).
- 30-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 11.81% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -3.97% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -3.44% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (19/126) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (94/553) against Miles Mikolas this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (64/221) against Miles Mikolas this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 17% (49/295) against Miles Mikolas this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
12 of Rich Hill’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
Rich Hill has allowed a slugging percentage of .529 (27 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (58/181) against Rich Hill this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (485/988) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are just 17-4 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Cardinals are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 23-5 (.821) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 1-22 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Pirates are just 22-29 (.431) after a home win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Pirates are 15-2 (.882) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .675.
The Pirates are just 9-98 (.084) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .737 (2,602 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .467 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Cardinals are batting .179 with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters have 614 strikeouts in 2,463 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Pirates are batting just .225 on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Pirates pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 777 of 8,354 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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