- The Cardinals (81-58) are -190 favorites vs the Pirates (51-86)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty (0-1), 4.15 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jonathan Brubaker (3-11), 4.35 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The St. Louis Cardinals (-190) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 78-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 65-67 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -105 | -190 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -115 | +155 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 59 games (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+12.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 away games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games at home (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 47 games at home (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- JT Brubaker has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JT Brubaker | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
| Jack Flaherty | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 76-59 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 8.55% ROI).
- 78-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 4.61% ROI
- 63-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 66-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.94% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 65-67 against the Run Line (-9.95 Units / -6.09% ROI).
- 49-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -7.92% ROI
- 57-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.35 Units / -11.28% ROI
- 67-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 2.91% ROI
Jack Flaherty: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 80% of Jack Flaherty’s pitches (20/25) with two-strikes this month (1 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 99th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (11/23) this month (1 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% (8/30) against Jack Flaherty on pitches in the strike zone this month (1 games) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 17% — 90th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 47% (9/19) of opposing batters this month (1 games) — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.
Jonathan Brubaker: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 54% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (345/645) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (155/493) against JT Brubaker on elevated fastballs this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 60% (713/1,182) in two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 80 of JT Brubaker’s 539 elevated fastballs out of the zone (15%) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 44-9 (.830) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Cardinals are 14-4 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-24 (.662) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Cardinals are 65-4 (.942) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 2-71 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Pirates are just 89-24 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 28-41 (.406) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Pirates are just 16-75 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .811 (2,446 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 567 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have drawn 10 walks in 44 PA’s (23%) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .912 against LHP this month (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .174 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .446 (5,771 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .656 (3,342 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Pirates hitters have 10 strikeouts in 25 PA’s (40%) against LHP this month (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.4
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,093 of 11,408 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,342 of 13,635 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Lat, D60
- Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
- Colin Holderman (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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