Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Cardinals (81-58) are -190 favorites vs the Pirates (51-86)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty (0-1), 4.15 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jonathan Brubaker (3-11), 4.35 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet PT

The St. Louis Cardinals (-190) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 78-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 65-67 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 -115O 7.5 -105-190
Pirates +1.5 -105U 7.5 -115+155

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 62.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 59 games (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+12.65 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 away games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games at home (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 47 games at home (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • JT Brubaker has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Gamel 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Cal Mitchell 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Jack Suwinski 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Gamel 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Cal Mitchell 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Jack Suwinski 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Gamel 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Cal Mitchell 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Jack Suwinski 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JT Brubaker 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
Jack Flaherty 4.5 -160 4.5 +115
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 76-59 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 8.55% ROI).

  • 78-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 4.61% ROI
  • 63-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.76% ROI
  • 66-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.94% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 65-67 against the Run Line (-9.95 Units / -6.09% ROI).

  • 49-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -7.92% ROI
  • 57-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.35 Units / -11.28% ROI
  • 67-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 2.91% ROI

Hitters have swung at 80% of Jack Flaherty’s pitches (20/25) with two-strikes this month (1 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 99th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (11/23) this month (1 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% (8/30) against Jack Flaherty on pitches in the strike zone this month (1 games) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 17% — 90th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 47% (9/19) of opposing batters this month (1 games) — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.

Jonathan Brubaker: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 54% of JT Brubaker’s pitches (345/645) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (155/493) against JT Brubaker on elevated fastballs this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 60% (713/1,182) in two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 80 of JT Brubaker’s 539 elevated fastballs out of the zone (15%) since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cardinals are 44-9 (.830) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Cardinals are 14-4 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 47-24 (.662) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Cardinals are 65-4 (.942) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Pirates are just 2-71 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Pirates are just 89-24 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Pirates are just 28-41 (.406) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Pirates are just 16-75 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .811 (2,446 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 567 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have drawn 10 walks in 44 PA’s (23%) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .912 against LHP this month (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .174 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .446 (5,771 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .656 (3,342 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Pirates hitters have 10 strikeouts in 25 PA’s (40%) against LHP this month (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 461.4

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,093 of 11,408 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,342 of 13,635 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 31% with two-strikes this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Lat, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Colin Holderman (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
  • Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.