Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 22

Pittsburgh Pirates' Jack Suwinski follows through on a single during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Saturday, June 24, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
Odds Boost: Same Game Parlay
  • The Pirates are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: CATV | SNPT

The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-155) on September 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cardinals are 76-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 76-76 ATS.

Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 12-7, 3.71 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 4-6, 4.17 ERA

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -185O 7 +105+125
Pirates -1.5 +150U 7 -125-155

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nathan Church has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+15.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Nathan Church has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nathan Church has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.35 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Leonardo Bernal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Konnor Griffin has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+16.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+16.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 84-69 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.28% ROI).

  • 76-80 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 0.64% ROI
  • 73-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -6.53% ROI
  • 76-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -2.49% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 76-76 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -3.01% ROI).

  • 79-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 80-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 2.44% ROI
  • 69-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.65 Units / -10.89% ROI

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cardinals are just 28-18 (.609) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are 9-58 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Cardinals are 17-127 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Pirates are just 7-37 (.159) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 24-99 (.195) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 14-80 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting .276 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .377 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals have scored 5.25 runs per game (394/75) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .349 (3,003 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .274 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .270 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 395 times this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 132 double plays in 1,178 opportunities (11%) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.41 (714.0 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Pirates pitchers this season was just 16.7 MPH — tied for 5th best in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.