- The Pirates are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: CATV | SNPT
The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-140) on September 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 76-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 77-76 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 5-14, 5.38 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Lake Bachar 1-4, 3.58 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -120 | +115 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 +100 | -140 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+15.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Nathan Church has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+15.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Nathan Church has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- JJ Wetherholt has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+14.70 Units / 210% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+16.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 50 away games (+14.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 76% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.20 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 84-70 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -1.01% ROI).
- 76-81 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.06% ROI
- 73-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.35 Units / -7.12% ROI
- 77-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -1.89% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 77-76 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -2.32% ROI).
- 80-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -3.81% ROI
- 80-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 1.79% ROI
- 70-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.65 Units / -10.24% ROI
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 28-18 (.609) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Cardinals are 9-58 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Cardinals are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Cardinals are just 104-53 (.662) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 7-37 (.159) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 3-145 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 24-99 (.195) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.
The Pirates are just 21-124 (.145) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .357 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .662 (2,971 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Cardinals are batting .275 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .304 (2,971 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .348 (3,036 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .753 (4,155 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .338 (4,155 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have 185 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 60% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed 150 home runs this season — tied for fewest in MLB.
The Pirates have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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