Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 09, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Cardinals (81-57) are -190 favorites vs the Pirates (50-86)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (11-10), 3.31 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras (4-4), 3.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet PT

The St. Louis Cardinals (-190) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 78-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 65-67 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 -115O 8 -105-190
Pirates +1.5 -105U 8 -115+155

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 62.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • No trends found

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games at home (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 47 games at home (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • JT Brubaker has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Gamel 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jason Delay 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Oneil Cruz 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Gamel 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jason Delay 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Oneil Cruz 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Gamel 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jason Delay 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Oneil Cruz 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Roansy Contreras 4.5 +100 4.5 -140
Miles Mikolas 4.5 -165 4.5 +115
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 54 games (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 76-59 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 8.55% ROI).

  • 78-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 4.61% ROI
  • 63-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.76% ROI
  • 66-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.94% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 65-67 against the Run Line (-9.95 Units / -6.09% ROI).

  • 49-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -7.92% ROI
  • 57-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.35 Units / -11.28% ROI
  • 67-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 2.91% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (241/1,328) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (143/701) against Miles Mikolas this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (121 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Miles Mikolas has walked 6 of 252 batters (2%) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Roansy Contreras: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Roansy Contreras has walked 12 of 83 batters (14%) with runners in scoring position this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (10/72) against Roansy Contreras on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (16/43) against Roansy Contreras on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Roansy Contreras has walked 33 of 318 batters (10%) this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cardinals are 14-4 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 29-3 (.906) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Cardinals are 68-19 (.782) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Cardinals are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Pirates are just 88-24 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Pirates are just 16-75 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Pirates are just 27-41 (.397) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Pirates are just 34-9 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 567 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .812 (2,442 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .477 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.525 (40 PA’s) against LHP this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Pirates are batting just .143 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Pirates have answered-back in just 22% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Pirates are batting just .113 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,443 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 136 double plays in 1,039 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 228 of 2,588 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 484 of 5,231 batters (9%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,339 of 13,598 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 5.12 (1236.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Lat, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Colin Holderman (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
  • Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.