- The Cardinals (81-57) are -190 favorites vs the Pirates (50-86)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (11-10), 3.31 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras (4-4), 3.40 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The St. Louis Cardinals (-190) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+155) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Cardinals vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 78-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 65-67 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -115 | O 8 -105 | -190 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -105 | U 8 -115 | +155 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- No trends found
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games at home (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 47 games at home (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- JT Brubaker has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jason Delay | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jason Delay | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Gamel | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jason Delay | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roansy Contreras | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -140 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 54 games (+3.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 76-59 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 8.55% ROI).
- 78-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 4.61% ROI
- 63-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.76% ROI
- 66-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.94% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 65-67 against the Run Line (-9.95 Units / -6.09% ROI).
- 49-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -7.92% ROI
- 57-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.35 Units / -11.28% ROI
- 67-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 2.91% ROI
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (241/1,328) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (143/701) against Miles Mikolas this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (121 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Miles Mikolas has walked 6 of 252 batters (2%) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Roansy Contreras: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roansy Contreras has walked 12 of 83 batters (14%) with runners in scoring position this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (10/72) against Roansy Contreras on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (16/43) against Roansy Contreras on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Roansy Contreras has walked 33 of 318 batters (10%) this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 14-4 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 29-3 (.906) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Cardinals are 68-19 (.782) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Cardinals are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 88-24 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 16-75 (.176) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Pirates are just 27-41 (.397) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Pirates are just 34-9 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 567 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .812 (2,442 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .477 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.525 (40 PA’s) against LHP this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .143 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates have answered-back in just 22% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Pirates are batting just .113 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,443 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 136 double plays in 1,039 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 228 of 2,588 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 484 of 5,231 batters (9%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,339 of 13,598 batters (10%) since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 5.12 (1236.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Lat, D60
- Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
- Colin Holderman (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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