- The Rays are -185 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (+150) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-185) on Thursday, August 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Cardinals vs Rays Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 50-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 60-56 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -120 | +150 |
| Rays | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 +100 | -185 |
Cardinals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 75.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+14.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
Rays vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Rays vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Matthew Liberatore | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +125 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 away games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 away games (+7.39 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games at home (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+12.05 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 58 games at home (+8.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+6.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 57-58 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -3.04% ROI).
- 50-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.4 Units / -21.02% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -4.07% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 60-56 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 1.88% ROI).
- 69-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 1.49% ROI
- 59-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 0.39% ROI
- 53-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -9.09% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Liberatore has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 25 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 21% — second Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore had a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (13/25) — 7th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (5/41) against Matthew Liberatore over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (12 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters — tied for 10th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .418 — 18th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .459 (147 Total Bases / 320 ABs) since last season — tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .363 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .296 (24-for-81) against Zack Littell’s elevated fastball since last season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .311 (64-for-206) against Zack Littell since last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .228 — fourth Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed an OPS of .781 (343 PA’s) since last season — 12th highest among among 183 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .667 — sixth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cardinals are just 2-46 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 37-12 (.755) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Cardinals are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Rays are 12-19 (.387) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Rays are just 3-9 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Rays are 32-10 (.762) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .562.
The Rays are just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .784 (2,392 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Cardinals hitters have 343 extra-base hits out of 837 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Cardinals are batting .253 with two outs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .261 (5,529 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have scored first in 63% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,533 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Rays hitters are slugging .383 on PA’s that last 5+ pitches this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 59% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 156 of 2,469 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 718 of 10,184 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Rays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Francisco Mejía (Rays): Knee, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
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