Cardinals vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 07, 2022, 10:39 AM
  • The Rays (31-23) are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals (32-23)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (4-2), 2.96 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (2-2), 1.87 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The St. Louis Cardinals (+130) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-155) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Cardinals vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 32-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 26-28 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -160O 7.5 -105+130
Rays -1.5 +135U 7.5 -115-155

Cardinals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 away games (+6.65 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.80 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+4.70 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 31-24 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 9.43% ROI).

  • 32-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 6.92% ROI
  • 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.91% ROI
  • 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -7.72% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 26-28 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 31-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -1.59% ROI
  • 24-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -10.22% ROI
  • 28-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 2.73% ROI

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 55% (268/489) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 57% (485/846) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (20/193) against Dakota Hudson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (33/130) against Dakota Hudson with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OBP of just .226 (217 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .302 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (225/650) against Jeffrey Springs since the start of last season — 15th best among among 186 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 92nd Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (173/454) against Jeffrey Springs since the start of last season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .163 (16-for-98) against Jeffrey Springs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 98th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Cardinals are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Cardinals are 27-7 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Cardinals are 46-1 (.979) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Cardinals are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rays are 15-82 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Rays are 13-10 (.565) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Rays are 18-13 (.581) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Rays are 28-16 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals hitters have 165 extra-base hits out of 386 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .464 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Cardinals hitters have just 406 strikeouts in 2,102 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .350 (426 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Rays have scored 1.65 runs per game (352/213) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.

Rays hitters have an OBP of just .299 (938 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

The Rays have scored 352 runs in late innings since the start of last season — most in MLB.

The Rays have scored 352 runs in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — most in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 50 of 490 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 178 of 1,909 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 135 of 1,997 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 157 of 2,478 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 26 of 488 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 571 of 7,995 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Shoulder, D10
  • Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.