- The Rays (31-23) are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals (32-23)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (4-2), 2.96 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (2-2), 1.87 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+130) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-155) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cardinals vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 32-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 26-28 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -105 | +130 |
| Rays | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -115 | -155 |
Cardinals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 57.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 away games (+6.65 Units / 133% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.75 Units / 68% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.80 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+4.70 Units / 78% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+4.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 31-24 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 9.43% ROI).
- 32-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 6.92% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.91% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -7.72% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 26-28 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 31-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -1.59% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -10.22% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 2.73% ROI
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 55% (268/489) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 57% (485/846) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (20/193) against Dakota Hudson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (33/130) against Dakota Hudson with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OBP of just .226 (217 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .302 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (225/650) against Jeffrey Springs since the start of last season — 15th best among among 186 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 92nd Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (173/454) against Jeffrey Springs since the start of last season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .163 (16-for-98) against Jeffrey Springs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cardinals are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Cardinals are 27-7 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Cardinals are 46-1 (.979) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cardinals are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Rays are 15-82 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Rays are 13-10 (.565) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Rays are 18-13 (.581) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Rays are 28-16 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 165 extra-base hits out of 386 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .464 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters have just 406 strikeouts in 2,102 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .350 (426 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have scored 1.65 runs per game (352/213) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Rays hitters have an OBP of just .299 (938 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Rays have scored 352 runs in late innings since the start of last season — most in MLB.
The Rays have scored 352 runs in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — most in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 50 of 490 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 178 of 1,909 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 135 of 1,997 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 157 of 2,478 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 26 of 488 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 571 of 7,995 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Shoulder, D10
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
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