- The – (36-20) are favorites vs the – (36-20)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (4-3), 3.015 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (6-2), 2.098 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The St. Louis Cardinals () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Thursday, June 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cardinals vs Rays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 32-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 28-28 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Rays | U |
Cardinals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.25 Units / 92% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.60 Units / 66% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+5.15 Units / 64% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 71% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 31-26 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 4.4% ROI).
- 32-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 3.96% ROI
- 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -1.12% ROI
- 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -7.69% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 28-28 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 4.48% ROI).
- 33-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.92% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -10.1% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 2.39% ROI
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 19% (13 SO in 68 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (99/542) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (35/102) against Miles Mikolas this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 16th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (40/271) against Miles Mikolas this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 36% (89 SO in 247 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has 21 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 58% (89 SO in 153 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .144 (153 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cardinals are 11-2 (.846) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Cardinals are 16-11 (.593) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Cardinals are 46-1 (.979) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Cardinals are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Rays are 14-4 (.778) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .668.
The Rays are 15-82 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Rays are 13-10 (.565) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Rays are 93-51 (.646) at home since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 167 extra-base hits out of 393 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Cardinals hitters have just 239 strikeouts in 1,088 PA’s (22%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cardinals are batting just .155 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have just 93 strikeouts in 524 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have an OBP of just .298 (944 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Rays have scored 1.87 runs per game (403/215) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.
Rays hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,207 of their 3,613 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 53 of 508 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 181 of 1,927 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 139 of 2,074 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 27 of 507 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 158 of 2,497 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 120 of 1,969 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
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