- The Cardinals (37-28) are -105 favorites vs the Red Sox (34-30)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (5-4), 2.83 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Michael Wacha (4-1), 2.33 ERA
- Watch the game on NESN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Friday, June 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Cardinals vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 37-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 35-29 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +145 | O 10 -105 | -105 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -175 | U 10 -115 | -115 |
Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 75.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.65 Units / 83% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 40% ROI)
Red Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -190 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -130 |
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 49 games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 63 games (+8.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+7.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 36-29 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 7.02% ROI).
- 37-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.77% ROI
- 33-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 1.4% ROI
- 29-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -10.17% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 35-29 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 6.03% ROI).
- 34-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -2.47% ROI
- 24-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -16.63% ROI
- 33-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 10.71% ROI
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Wainwright has thrown his curveball 30% of the time (260/872) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (1,652/3,015) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has a strikeout rate of just 21% (22 SO in 105 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — seventh Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (729/1,071) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (446/903) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .358 (62 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .739 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (35/220) against Michael Wacha this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed a BABIP of .167 vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Cardinals are 29-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Cardinals are just 1-26 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Cardinals are 13-3 (.812) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Cardinals are 22-4 (.846) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Red Sox are just 1-20 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Red Sox are 19-15 (.559) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Red Sox are 15-3 (.833) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Red Sox are just 120-19 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have 172 extra-base hits out of 402 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .766 (499 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .789 (1,744 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .182 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 59 of 579 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 187 of 1,998 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Red Sox have won 44% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): COVID-19, D10
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.