Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 11:06 AM
  • The Red Sox (35-31) are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals (38-29)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (2-1), 1.45 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta (6-5), 3.49 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-155) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Cardinals vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 38-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 35-31 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -155O 9 -105+125
Red Sox -1.5 +125U 9 -115-155

Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 66.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.70 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.20 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.05 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 30 games at home (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Red Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
    Christian Vazquez 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
    J.D. Martinez 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
    Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
    Rafael Devers 0.5 +325 0.5 -600

    Red Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
    Christian Vazquez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    J.D. Martinez 1.5 +155 1.5 -225
    Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Rafael Devers 1.5 +150 1.5 -225

    Red Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Christian Vazquez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    J.D. Martinez 0.5 +110 0.5 -160
    Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Rafael Devers 0.5 +125 0.5 -175

    Red Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Nick Pivetta 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
    Pallante 2.5 -145 2.5 +100
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+10.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 59 games (+7.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 65 games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 38-29 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 9.03% ROI).

    • 38-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.69% ROI
    • 35-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 4.06% ROI
    • 29-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -12.6% ROI

    Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 35-31 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 3.51% ROI).

    • 35-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -2.58% ROI
    • 26-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -13.37% ROI
    • 33-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 7.63% ROI

    Opponents have a chase percentage of just 6% (4/65) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

    Andre Pallante has a strikeout rate of just 34% (25 SO in 73 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.

    Andre Pallante has a strikeout rate of just 5% (2 SO in 37 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

    Right-handed batters are hitting .310 (22-for-71) against Andre Pallante this season — 11th highest among among 110 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — 10th Percentile.

    Nicholas Pivetta: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (40/237) against Nick Pivetta this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.

    Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (389/820) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

    Right-handed batters batted just .056 (1-for-18) against Nick Pivetta — 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (7/36) against Nick Pivetta with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

    Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

    The Cardinals are 14-3 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

    The Cardinals are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Cardinals are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

    Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

    The Red Sox are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Red Sox are just 121-19 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

    The Red Sox are just 30-4 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    The Red Sox are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

    Cardinals hitters have 175 extra-base hits out of 407 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Cardinals hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,141 PA’s (22%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    The Cardinals are batting .268 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    Cardinals hitters have 202 extra-base hits out of 479 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    The Red Sox are batting .182 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .167.

    The Red Sox have scored first in 79% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Cardinals pitchers have walked 60 of 596 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

    Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

    The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    Red Sox vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): COVID-19, D10
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.