- The Red Sox (35-31) are -155 favorites vs the Cardinals (38-29)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (2-1), 1.45 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nicholas Pivetta (6-5), 3.49 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-155) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cardinals vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 38-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 35-31 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -105 | +125 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -115 | -155 |
Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s matchup with 66.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Red Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Rafael Devers | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
| Pallante | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 38-29 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 9.03% ROI).
- 38-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 3.69% ROI
- 35-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 4.06% ROI
- 29-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -12.6% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 35-31 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 3.51% ROI).
- 35-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -2.58% ROI
- 26-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -13.37% ROI
- 33-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 7.63% ROI
Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 6% (4/65) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante has a strikeout rate of just 34% (25 SO in 73 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Andre Pallante has a strikeout rate of just 5% (2 SO in 37 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .310 (22-for-71) against Andre Pallante this season — 11th highest among among 110 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — 10th Percentile.
Nicholas Pivetta: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (40/237) against Nick Pivetta this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (389/820) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .056 (1-for-18) against Nick Pivetta — 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (7/36) against Nick Pivetta with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Cardinals are 14-3 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Cardinals are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Cardinals are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Red Sox are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Red Sox are just 121-19 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Red Sox are just 30-4 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Red Sox are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 175 extra-base hits out of 407 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,141 PA’s (22%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cardinals are batting .268 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals hitters have 202 extra-base hits out of 479 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .182 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .167.
The Red Sox have scored first in 79% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 60 of 596 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Red Sox vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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