- The Reds are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | FDMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-145) on Sunday, August 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cardinals are 68-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 70-65 ATS.
Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 6-12, 5.46 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 11-9, 4.09 ERA
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pedro Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+13.20 Units / 147% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Andre Pallante has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 88 games (+9.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 54 away games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+5.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 113 games (+28.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 48 games (+16.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+2.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 46 games at home (+2.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 69-68 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -3.91% ROI).
- 68-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 69-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 60-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.95 Units / -10.59% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 70-65 against the Run Line (-4.28 Units / -2.36% ROI).
- 68-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -3.83% ROI
- 50-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -36.94 Units / -24.84% ROI
- 80-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +25.25 Units / 16.76% ROI
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -285 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ivan Herrera (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (CIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer (CIN) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andre Pallante has a strikeout rate of just 11% (26 SO in 234 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante has a strike rate of just 56% (378/673) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante has a strike rate of just 61% (695/1,136) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 77% (173/226) against Andre Pallante in 2023 — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has walked 12% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 39% of the time (268/688) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer threw his slider 58% of the time (470/813) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 11% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 55-3 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Cardinals are 119-7 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals are 38-24 (.613) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 6-45 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Reds are just 3-51 (.056) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Reds are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .942 (1,003 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.071.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .384 this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .387 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .492 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds has an xwOBA of just .360 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 46% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
