Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (50-45) are -155 favorites vs the Reds (35-57)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz (3-3), 6.02 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Michael Minor (1-6), 6.21 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The St. Louis Cardinals (-155) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 50-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 43-49 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +100O 10.5 -115-155
Reds +1.5 -120U 10.5 -105+125

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+12.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.60 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+18.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 59 games (+18.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+15.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nick Senzel has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 51% ROI)

Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Donovan Solano 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Joey Votto 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Jonathan India 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Donovan Solano 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Joey Votto 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Jonathan India 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kyle Farmer 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Nick Senzel 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Donovan Solano 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Joey Votto 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jonathan India 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Minor 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
Steven Matz 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 72 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 90 games (+4.85 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 66 games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 66 games (+5.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 51-44 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 2.87% ROI).

  • 50-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -1.31% ROI
  • 45-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -5.9% ROI
  • 46-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -3.16% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 43-49 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -10.97% ROI).

  • 35-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -12.36% ROI
  • 51-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 6.71% ROI
  • 40-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.5 Units / -16.25% ROI

Opponents are hitting .494 (41-for-83) against Steven Matz on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .486 (36-for-74) against Steven Matz on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .341 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (55/273) against Steven Matz with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.

Steven Matz has not allowed a walk in any of his last three starts — the longest active streak is 6.

Michael Minor: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

22 of Mike Minor’s 73 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.

Mike Minor has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (331/736) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.

Mike Minor has an average spin rate of 2528.9 RPM on fastballs since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 2215.2 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (8/35) against Mike Minor this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are 41-2 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Cardinals are just 13-36 (.265) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Cardinals are 21-5 (.808) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 25-6 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Reds are just 16-29 (.356) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Reds are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 19-28 (.404) at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

Cardinals hitters have 195 extra-base hits out of 459 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,999 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .542 (1,943 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The Reds are batting just .103 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Reds have a winning percentage of just 36% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .625 (1,655 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Reds hitters are slugging just .382 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 80 of 842 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 908 of 9,576 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Reds pitchers have walked 43 of 332 batters (13%) over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.33 (383.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Reds pitchers have walked 356 of 3,573 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): COVID, D10
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D10
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Ross Detwiler (Reds): Back, D15
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Dakota Hudson (Cardinals): Neck, D15
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.