- The Cardinals are -190 favorites vs the Reds
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Watch the game on BSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals (-190) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+155) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 21-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 25-21 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -120 | O 10 -105 | -190 |
| Reds | +1.5 +100 | U 10 -115 | +155 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 79.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games (+13.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+18.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+13.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+4.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games at home (+2.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 22-26 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -11.84% ROI).
- 21-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -22.13% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.57% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -8.33% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 25-21 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 3.73% ROI).
- 19-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -10.72% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.5% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -8.98% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .528 (47 Total Bases / 89 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — sixth Percentile.
71% of Jordan Montgomery’s called strikeouts are inside this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% (16/35) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 1 of 54 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .111 (2-for-18) against Brandon Williamson — tied for 8th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .232 — 92nd Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are 21-5 (.808) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 15-3 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Cardinals are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 21-23 (.477) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Reds are just 21-33 (.389) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Reds are 7-18 (.280) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Reds are 6-22 (.214) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .334 (1,404 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters have just 1,246 strikeouts in 6,206 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .743 (2,474 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .805 (1,812 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .371 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .314 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .357 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Reds pitchers have walked 776 of 8,007 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .313 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Terry Friedl (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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