Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 23, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals are -140 favorites vs the Reds
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The St. Louis Cardinals (-140) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+115) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 21-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 26-21 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +110O 10.5 -115-140
Reds +1.5 -135U 10.5 -105+115

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+19.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Kevin Newman has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.75 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Wil Myers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)

Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Jonathan India 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Tommy Edman 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nolan Arenado 1.5 +160 1.5 -225
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jonathan India 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tommy Edman 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jonathan India 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Tommy Edman 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Graham Ashcraft 4.5 +140 4.5 -185
Adam Wainwright 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+3.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 22-27 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -13.51% ROI).

  • 21-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -24.41% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -10.2% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 26-21 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 5.37% ROI).

  • 20-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -7.27% ROI
  • 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 2.45% ROI
  • 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -10.89% ROI

Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (1,917/3,405) since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (417/725) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time (2,113/3,405) since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (86/562) against Adam Wainwright since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Graham Ashcraft has allowed a slugging percentage of .634 (26 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .366 (15-for-41) against Graham Ashcraft’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has a strikeout rate of just 35% (36 SO in 103 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 13th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 14% (41/292) against Graham Ashcraft when he’s behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.

The Cardinals are 21-5 (.808) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 15-3 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Cardinals are 7-83 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 21-23 (.477) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Reds are just 66-6 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Reds are just 22-33 (.400) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

The Reds are just 17-44 (.279) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Cardinals hitters have 303 extra-base hits out of 715 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .465 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .808 (1,836 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Reds have won just 17% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Reds hitters are slugging just .209 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Reds hitters have 500 strikeouts in 2,068 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Reds have a winning percentage of just 43% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .354 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.

Reds pitchers have walked 785 of 8,053 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .313 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
  • Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
  • Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.