- The Cardinals are -140 favorites vs the Reds
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
- Watch the game on BSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals (-140) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+115) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 21-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 26-21 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +110 | O 10.5 -115 | -140 |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | U 10.5 -105 | +115 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+19.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Wil Myers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft | 4.5 +140 | 4.5 -185 |
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+3.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 22-27 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -13.51% ROI).
- 21-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -24.41% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -10.2% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 26-21 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 5.37% ROI).
- 20-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -7.27% ROI
- 25-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 2.45% ROI
- 22-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -10.89% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (1,917/3,405) since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (417/725) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time (2,113/3,405) since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (86/562) against Adam Wainwright since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has allowed a slugging percentage of .634 (26 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .366 (15-for-41) against Graham Ashcraft’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has a strikeout rate of just 35% (36 SO in 103 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 13th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 14% (41/292) against Graham Ashcraft when he’s behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 16-3 (.842) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Cardinals are 21-5 (.808) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 15-3 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Cardinals are 7-83 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 21-23 (.477) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Reds are just 66-6 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Reds are just 22-33 (.400) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Reds are just 17-44 (.279) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 303 extra-base hits out of 715 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .465 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .808 (1,836 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have won just 17% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .209 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Reds hitters have 500 strikeouts in 2,068 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 43% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .354 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Reds pitchers have walked 785 of 8,053 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .313 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Ankle, D15
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D15
- Henry Ramos (Reds): Hip, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
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