- The Reds are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Watch the game on BSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-140) on Sunday, September 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 0-0 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | O 9.5 -105 | +115 |
| Reds | -1.5 +140 | U 9.5 -115 | -140 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 52.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+19.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+12.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+20.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -150 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Hunter Greene | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 away games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+9.09 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.29 Units / 72% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 away games (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 71 games (+6.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 142 games (+22.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games at home (+11.29 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+2.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (49/326) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (75/486) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (220/1,344) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .223 (73-for-328) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — seventh Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 21% (172/828) against Miles Mikolas in 2022 — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 11th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .901 (82 Total Bases / 91 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .094 (10 GB hits out of 106 GBs) against Miles Mikolas with the shift in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
108 of Miles Mikolas’ 156 strikeouts (69%) came on fastballs in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 3-59 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cardinals are just 44-46 (.489) after a win as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
The Cardinals are just 48-12 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Cardinals are just 62-79 (.440) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 43-34 (.558) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 13-20 (.394) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Reds are 24-47 (.338) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Reds are just 39-43 (.476) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 368 extra-base hits out of 905 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .743 (5,925 PA’s) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Cardinals hitters have just 1,823 strikeouts in 8,877 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 42% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 14 extra-base hits out of 59 total hits (just 24%) against LHP over the last 30 days (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Reds are batting just .141 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Reds hitters are slugging just .415 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Cardinals pitchers over the last 30 days (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 30 days (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 383 of 4,152 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,151 of 11,825 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Young (Reds): COVID-19, D7
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew McLain (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Toe, D15
- Stuart Fairchild (Reds): COVID-19, D7
- Brandon Williamson (Reds): COVID, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Edward Lively (Reds): COVID-19, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Noelvi Marte (Reds): Face, Day-to-Day
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
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