Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 11

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 11, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The St. Louis Cardinals (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Cardinals vs Rockies Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 3-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 3-8 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 -120O 12 -110-175
Rockies +1.5 +100U 12 -110+145

Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 64.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 3 away games (+0.05 Units / 2% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+0.05 Units / 2% ROI)

Rockies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
C.J. Cron 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Yonathan Daza 0.5 +1150 0.5
Ryan McMahon 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100

Rockies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 1.5 +150 1.5 -200
Yonathan Daza 1.5 +195 1.5 -275
Elehuris Montero 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Elias Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Kris Bryant 1.5 +160 1.5 -210

Rockies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
C.J. Cron 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Yonathan Daza 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Ryan McMahon 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Rockies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Freeland 3.5 +100 3.5 -130
Miles Mikolas 4.5 +125 4.5 -160
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -22.96% ROI).

  • 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -42.02% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -43.06% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 30.67% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 3-8 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -44.58% ROI).

  • 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 4% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -10.64% ROI

Opponents are hitting .413 (19-for-46) against Miles Mikolas this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .448 (13-for-29) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of .684 (19 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of .429 (49 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have not swung and missed (0/15) against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

27 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Freeland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (279/503) of opposing batters in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.

Opponents have not swung and missed (0/20) against Kyle Freeland when behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Cardinals are 25-10 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals were 22-27 (.449) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Cardinals were 22-21 (.512) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rockies were just 33-31 (.516) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Rockies are just 13-28 (.317) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 55-112 (.329) on the road since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.

The Rockies are just 44-26 (.629) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.

Cardinals hitters have 264 extra-base hits out of 620 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .804 (2,677 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Cardinals are batting .345 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The Rockies are batting .282 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies are batting .284 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rockies hitters are slugging just .346 on the road since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

The Rockies won just 42% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 5.30 (740.0 IP) at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Bard (Rockies): Anxiety, D15
  • Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Left Forearm, D15
  • Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
  • Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.