- The Cardinals (61-49) are -115 favorites vs the Rockies (49-64)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson (6-6), 4.20 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (6-9), 5.17 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-105) on Thursday, August 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cardinals vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 61-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 61-52 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | O 11.5 -105 | -115 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -150 | U 11.5 -115 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 71.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+14.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 27 away games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 away games (+11.25 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+13.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 44 games at home (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Rockies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brian Serven | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Iglesias | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rockies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -160 |
| Brian Serven | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -200 |
| Jose Iglesias | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -160 |
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
Rockies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Rodgers | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| Brian Serven | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jose Iglesias | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Rockies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| German Marquez | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Dakota Hudson | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 44 away games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 105 games (+10.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 60 games (+15.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 47 games at home (+4.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+1.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 61-49 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 6.51% ROI).
- 61-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.88% ROI
- 51-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -8.46% ROI
- 55-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -0.7% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 61-52 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 1.68% ROI).
- 49-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -2.26% ROI
- 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.32% ROI
- 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -7.22% ROI
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (85/467) against Dakota Hudson this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 29% (56 SO in 192 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 54% (310/578) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 57% (492/870) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Germán Márquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
German Marquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .707 (58 Total Bases / 82 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .411 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .427 (35-for-82) against German Marquez on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — second Percentile.
German Marquez has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (666/1,295) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
German Marquez has allowed an OPS of .921 (157 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .614 — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Cardinals are 35-7 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Cardinals are just 2-43 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Cardinals are 48-3 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Cardinals are 30-7 (.811) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Rockies are just 5-14 (.263) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 18-36 (.333) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Rockies are 35-3 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Rockies are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .796 (2,131 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals hitters have 212 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .348 (886 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters have 239 extra-base hits out of 566 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .290 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies are batting .284 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of .814 (2,268 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cardinals have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.3
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Rockies pitchers since the start of last season is 407.9 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Jhoulys Chacín (Rockies): Toe, D15
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Kuhl (Rockies): Hip, D15
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Elias Díaz (Rockies): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Jordan Montgomery (Cardinals): Cramps, Day-to-Day
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
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