- The Cardinals are -140 favorites vs the Royals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans
- Watch the game on BSKC
The St. Louis Cardinals (-140) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+115) on Saturday, August 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Cardinals vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 51-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 50-68 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +110 | O 9.5 -115 | -140 |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | U 9.5 -105 | +115 |
Cardinals vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+16.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+12.75 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Freddy Fermin has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.95 Units / 59% ROI)
Royals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Royals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Cole Ragans | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.59 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 away games (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 away games (+7.79 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 33% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+12.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+11.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.49 Units / 38% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 58-59 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -3% ROI).
- 51-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.1 Units / -20.5% ROI
- 56-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -4.08% ROI
- 56-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -4.03% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 50-68 against the Run Line (-28.55 Units / -20.01% ROI).
- 38-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.2 Units / -22.52% ROI
- 55-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -8.86% ROI
- 60-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.43% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Matz has allowed an OPS of just .140 (29 PA’s) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .508 — 100th Percentile.
Steven Matz has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last six games dating back to July 9th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Steven Matz has allowed an OBP of just .069 (29 PA’s) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Steven Matz has allowed an OBP of just .211 (38 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .305 — 96th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 38% (19 SO in 50 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (31/91) against Cole Ragans over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of .293 (99 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 8th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .235 — eighth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (4/21) against Cole Ragans when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cardinals are just 2-47 (.041) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Cardinals are 27-9 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-54 (.036) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Cardinals are just 40-5 (.889) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Royals are just 11-24 (.314) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Royals are just 26-26 (.500) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Royals are just 14-16 (.467) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Royals are just 12-36 (.250) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .331 (3,442 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Cardinals are batting .291 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .262 (5,558 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .288 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 66%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (2,189 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 64 of 1,034 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 3 of 106 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.34 (499.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Maikel Garcia (Royals): Upper Body, Day-to-Day
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D10
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
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