Cardinals vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

Kansas City Royals' Bobby Witt Jr. celebrates a double against the Detroit Tigers during the fifth inning of a baseball game in Kansas City, Mo., Sunday, June 1, 2025.
(AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
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  • The Cardinals are -105 favorites vs the Royals
  • Cardinals vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | KCTV | CATV

The St. Louis Cardinals (-105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on June 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Cardinals are 40-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 31-41 ATS.

Cardinals vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 3-3, 4.72 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 3-4, 4.08 ERA

Cardinals vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +155O 8.5 +100-105
Royals +1.5 -190U 8.5 -120-115

Cardinals vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+19.50 Units / 325% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jac Caglianone has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nick Loftin has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games at home (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.45 Units / 8% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 45-26 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 10.25% ROI).

  • 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.35 Units / 16.21% ROI
  • 31-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -11.93% ROI
  • 37-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 3.39% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 31-41 against the Run Line (-18.55 Units / -18.09% ROI).

  • 30-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.5 Units / -22.6% ROI
  • 34-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -11.88% ROI
  • 40-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 3.39% ROI

Royals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jordan Walker +325
Salvador Perez +425
JJ Wetherholt +425
Nelson Velazquez +425
Jac Caglianone +450

Royals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Maikel Garcia 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Alec Burleson 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Lane Thomas 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Royals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Lane Thomas 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Carter Jensen 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Starling Marte 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Isaac Collins 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Cardinals are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Cardinals are 16-5 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

The Cardinals are 12-93 (.114) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Royals are just 22-8 (.733) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Royals are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

The Royals are just 2-24 (.077) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Royals are just 30-45 (.400) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .261 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 100 extra-base hits out of 341 total hits (just 29%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .458 (1,465 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Royals are just 22-8 (.733) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

Royals hitters are slugging just .220 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Royals are batting .248 with two outs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH this season (1,870 balls in play) — highest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH (1,870 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 59 double plays in 517 opportunities (11%) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 28% against the Royals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.