Cardinals vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 07, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-105) on Friday, July 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Cardinals vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 36-51 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 45-44 ATS.

Cardinals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +145O 8.5 -115-115
White Sox +1.5 -175U 8.5 -105-105

Cardinals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+15.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+13.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+13.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 32% ROI)

White Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Zachary Remillard 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Tim Anderson 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500

White Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Zachary Remillard 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Tim Anderson 1.5 +155 1.5 -210

White Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Zachary Remillard 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +270 0.5 -375
Tim Anderson 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

White Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Cease 7.5 +115 7.5 -155
Jordan Montgomery 5.5 +100 5.5 -130
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 43 away games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 away games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 40-47 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -10.21% ROI).

  • 36-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.55 Units / -25.36% ROI
  • 42-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -4.24% ROI
  • 42-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -4.33% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 45-44 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -6.06% ROI).

  • 37-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.55 Units / -16.87% ROI
  • 39-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -8.9% ROI
  • 44-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.11% ROI

Jordan Montgomery has not allowed a walk in his last 70 PAs against a LHH dating back to October 8th, 2022 — tied with Adbert Alzolay for the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (52/144) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .439 (75 Total Bases / 171 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — 16th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (23/71) against Jordan Montgomery with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has walked 25 of 196 right-handed batters (13%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 42% of the time (2,040/4,872) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 39% of the time (1,294/3,321) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (1,808/3,321) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Cardinals are just 29-5 (.853) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Cardinals are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The White Sox are just 4-14 (.222) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

The White Sox are just 28-6 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The White Sox are just 11-7 (.611) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The White Sox are just 29-4 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Cardinals hitters have 322 extra-base hits out of 776 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Cardinals are just 29-5 (.853) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

White Sox hitters have drawn 167 walks in 2,519 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .220 (1,760 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 342 of 3,440 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
  • Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Andrew Knizner (Cardinals): Groin, D10
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
  • Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.