- The White Sox are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-130) on Sunday, July 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cardinals vs White Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cardinals are 37-52 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 45-46 ATS.
Cardinals vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -120 | +110 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 +100 | -130 |
Cardinals vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 55.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adam Wainwright has hit the Earned Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Taylor Motter has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andrew Knizner has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 116% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Earned Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
White Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
White Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
White Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Lucas Giolito | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 47 away games (+4.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.80 Units / 6% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+11.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games at home (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 33 games at home (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 42-47 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -8.06% ROI).
- 37-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.65 Units / -24.88% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 43-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -4.28% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 45-46 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -7.87% ROI).
- 38-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.55 Units / -16.53% ROI
- 40-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -8.8% ROI
- 45-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 1.04% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .329 (70-for-213) against Steven Matz this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .249 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .258 (42-for-163) against Steven Matz with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .174 — second Percentile.
Steven Matz has a strikeout rate of just 18% (16 SO in 87 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 33% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .358 (43-for-120) against Steven Matz on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .257 — second Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (141/470) against Lucas Giolito since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Lucas Giolito has allowed a slugging percentage of .434 (92 Total Bases / 212 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — 15th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (36/107) against Lucas Giolito in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 22% (22/98) against Lucas Giolito this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Cardinals are just 29-5 (.853) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are just 26-6 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Cardinals are just 2-37 (.051) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Cardinals are just 26-10 (.722) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The White Sox are just 12-25 (.324) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The White Sox are just 30-4 (.882) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 4-14 (.222) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The White Sox are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have 323 extra-base hits out of 778 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 445 walks in 7,350 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,570 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have drawn 170 walks in 2,570 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,802 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 346 of 3,521 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Andrew Knizner (Cardinals): Groin, D10
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jordan Montgomery (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
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