Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 4

New York Yankees' Austin Wells reacts after hitting a three-run home run during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium Monday, Sept. 9, 2024, in New York.
AP Photo/Seth Wenig
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  • The Yankees are -180 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cardinals / Yankees TV Channel: CATV | YES

The St. Louis Cardinals (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-180) on August 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Cardinals are 56-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 53-59 ATS.

Cardinals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Hunter Dobbins 2-1, 3.75 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 4-7, 4.00 ERA

Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -140O 8 +100+145
Yankees -1.5 +115U 8 -120-180

Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Blaze Jordan has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+19.00 Units / 475% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 away games (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+8.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 61-49 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -1.58% ROI).

  • 56-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 2.76% ROI
  • 45-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.7 Units / -19.82% ROI
  • 63-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.3 Units / 10.72% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 53-59 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.52% ROI).

  • 63-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -4.81% ROI
  • 49-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.45 Units / -13.98% ROI
  • 60-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 5.04% ROI

Yankees vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ben Rice +230
Jordan Walker +280
Luis Garcia Jr. +310
Trent Grisham +325
JJ Wetherholt +333

Yankees vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ben Rice 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Alec Burleson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Yankees vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan McMahon 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Masyn Winn 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
George Lombard Jr. 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Alec Burleson 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Cardinals are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 4-39 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 4-39 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Yankees are 38-5 (.884) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 26-3 (.897) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Yankees are 4-41 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 55-15 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .662 (2,187 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .358 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .380 this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,318 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 125 extra-base hits out of 318 total hits (39%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 202 extra-base hits out of 469 total hits (43%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .760 (1,352 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (554.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.