Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 5

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  • The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on August 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Cardinals are 56-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 54-59 ATS.

Cardinals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 11-6, 3.73 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 8-5, 4.13 ERA

Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -165O 8.5 -102+125
Yankees -1.5 +135U 8.5 -118-150

Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • JJ Wetherholt has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Andre Pallante has hit the Hits Allowed Under in his last 10 away games (+10.15 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kyle Leahy has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Spencer Jones has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.20 Units / 203% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.05 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 away games (+8.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games at home (+15.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.30 Units / 16% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 61-50 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -2.28% ROI).

  • 56-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.92% ROI
  • 45-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.8 Units / -20.53% ROI
  • 64-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.3 Units / 11.42% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 54-59 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -0.74% ROI).

  • 64-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -4.16% ROI
  • 49-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -14.73% ROI
  • 61-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.25 Units / 5.8% ROI

Yankees vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ben Rice +270
Alec Burleson +310
Trent Grisham +340
Luis Garcia Jr. +350
JJ Wetherholt +350

Yankees vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ben Rice 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Yankees vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jimmy Crooks 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Masyn Winn 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ryan McMahon 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Cardinals are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 4-40 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals are just 4-40 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Yankees are 39-5 (.886) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 26-3 (.897) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Yankees are 40-5 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 18-2 (.900) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .662 (2,187 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .501 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .694 (4,312 PA’s) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 204 extra-base hits out of 473 total hits (43%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .226 (2,333 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .130 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .759 (1,360 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (554.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.