- The Astros are -165 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Watch the game on TBS
The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Tuesday, May 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Cubs vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 20-21 ATS.
Cubs vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -105 | +140 |
| Astros | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -115 | -165 |
Cubs vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+19.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+15.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+14.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+12.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.65 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+15.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+11.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Astros vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Astros vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Astros vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Astros vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Cristian Javier | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -135 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 22-19 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 4.14% ROI).
- 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -7.64% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -4.66% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -4.76% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 20-21 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -7.2% ROI).
- 22-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -9.01% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -4.52% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -3.9% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (80/203) against Cristian Javier this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 55% of the time (101/185) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .165 (53-for-322) against Cristian Javier since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 99th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 57% of the time (219/384) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cubs are just 1-89 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Cubs are just 25-38 (.397) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Cubs are 37-35 (.514) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs are just 26-12 (.684) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Astros are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Astros are 13-12 (.520) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Astros are 59-6 (.908) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Astros are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .485 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs are batting .289 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Cubs hitters are slugging .317 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .354 (469 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 379 strikeouts in 2,226 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 58 strikeouts in 376 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 759 strikeouts in 4,307 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have 69 extra-base hits out of 248 total hits (just 28%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Cubs have won 35% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 7.94 (51.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
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