- The Astros are -165 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly
- Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Cubs vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 19-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 21-21 ATS.
Cubs vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -110 | +140 |
| Astros | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -110 | -165 |
Cubs vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 35 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+10.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+9.55 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 42 games (+16.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+12.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+11.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
Astros vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Astros vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Astros vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Smyly | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| P. France | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 38 games (+3.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 22-20 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 1.34% ROI).
- 19-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -9.46% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -2.38% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -7.02% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 21-21 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -4.89% ROI).
- 23-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -7.1% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -2.26% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -6.2% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cubs are just 25-38 (.397) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Cubs are just 26-12 (.684) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Cubs are just 1-90 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Cubs are just 2-9 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Astros are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Astros are 28-18 (.609) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Astros are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Astros are 17-1 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting .290 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Cubs are batting just .277 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 387 strikeouts in 2,251 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 66 strikeouts in 401 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,039/7,624 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 27 of 375 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 6% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 35% against the Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.10 (894.0 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
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