Cubs vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 19, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Cubs are -160 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Mason Miller
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Chicago Cubs (-160) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+135) on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.

The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Cubs vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cubs are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 7-11 ATS.

Cubs vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +105O 7 +100-160
Athletics +1.5 -130U 7 -120+135

Cubs vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games at home (+8.05 Units / 134% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Aledmys Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ryan Noda has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 117% ROI)

Athletics vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Tucker Barnhart 0.5 +1150 0.5

Athletics vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Eric Hosmer 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Tucker Barnhart 0.5 -120 0.5 -105

Athletics vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Tucker Barnhart 0.5 +280 0.5 -400

Athletics vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Steele 6.5 +100 6.5 -130
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.20 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 11-5 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 32.59% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 28.61% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -5.11% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -5.38% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 7-11 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -27.67% ROI).

  • 3-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -55% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 20.6% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -30.51% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 78% (14/18) against Justin Steele in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .100 (5-for-50) against Justin Steele this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — 98th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 56% of the time (40/72) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (28/47) against Justin Steele this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

James Kaprielian has an ERA of 11.30 (14.1 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 4.46 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .583 (7 GB hits out of 12 GBs) against James Kaprielian this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.

James Kaprielian has walked 41 of 314 right-handed batters (13%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .250 (17-for-68) against James Kaprielian on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 95th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Cubs are just 22-11 (.667) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Cubs are just 35-21 (.625) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .810.

The Cubs are 5-4 (.556) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Cubs are just 64-12 (.842) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Athletics are just 2-9 (.182) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Athletics are just 3-13 (.188) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.

The Athletics are just 46-14 (.767) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Athletics are just 56-6 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Cubs are batting .310 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .867 (300 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .647 (339 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The Cubs are batting .363 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,861 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,297 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .625 (4,861 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cubs pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 2.63 (61.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 9.47 (57.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Athletics have allowed 8.57 runs per game (60/7) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.48.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
  • Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Domingo Acevedo (Athletics): Back, D15
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
  • Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
  • Brent Rooker (Athletics): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.