- The Cubs are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Saturday, August 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Cubs vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 60-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 56-62 ATS.
Cubs vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -110 | -105 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -110 | -115 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 41 games (+24.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 40 games (+23.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+22.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 41 games (+22.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+18.80 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+12.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 44 games (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.70 Units / 72% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Blue Jays vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Blue Jays vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Blue Jays vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Justin Steele | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.34 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.89 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+6.39 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.64 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 93 games (+20.29 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games at home (+14.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 62-54 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 2.83% ROI).
- 60-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 0.95% ROI
- 60-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 3.37% ROI
- 50-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -12.41% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 56-62 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -5.33% ROI).
- 65-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 46-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.75 Units / -20.13% ROI
- 66-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.25 Units / 11.77% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (604/1,248) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (604/1,248) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (836/1,833) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (836/1,833) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .292 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for second best)– 98th Percentile and .541 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of .541 (140 Total Bases / 259 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — fourth Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of just .558 (296 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .696 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .207 (56-for-271) against Chris Bassitt this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 91st Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cubs are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 24-30 (.444) after a loss as favorites since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs are just 29-39 (.426) after a home loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Cubs are just 2-121 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Blue Jays are 16-10 (.615) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 63-90 (.412) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Blue Jays are just 5-36 (.122) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Blue Jays are 29-39 (.426) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .444 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Cubs are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cubs hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .391 (710 PA’s) against RHP over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 74 of 1,029 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs have won 37% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 14% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 171 of 2,511 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.45 (504.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Knee, D10
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Jordan Romano (Blue Jays): Back, D15
- Trevor Richards (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Hip, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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