Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 29

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 29, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (68-58) are -225 favorites vs the Cubs (55-73)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad (0-0), 0.00 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (9-5), 5.28 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Chicago Cubs (+185) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-225) on Monday, August 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Cubs vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 54-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 51-72 ATS.

Cubs vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -105O 9 -120+185
Blue Jays -1.5 -115U 9 +100-225

Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 56.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Blue Jays vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+20.75 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 54 of his last 73 games (+17.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+17.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 48 of his last 82 games (+13.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 56 games (+11.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.15 Units / 49% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Bo Bichette 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
George Springer 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Matt Chapman 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Blue Jays vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Bo Bichette 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Lourdes Gurriel 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Matt Chapman 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Santiago Espinal 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Blue Jays vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Bo Bichette 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
George Springer 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Matt Chapman 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Blue Jays vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios 5.5 -125 5.5 -110
Javier Assad 2.5 -165 2.5 +120
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 52 of their last 84 games (+20.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 64-62 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -4.98% ROI).

  • 54-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.1 Units / -10.53% ROI
  • 54-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -11.61% ROI
  • 64-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 3.55% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 51-72 against the Run Line (-25.95 Units / -17.5% ROI).

  • 66-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.75 Units / -12.4% ROI
  • 63-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -1.56% ROI
  • 59-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -8.24% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .653 (64 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .368 (32-for-87) against Jose Berrios on low fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (33/171) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (37/101) against Jose Berrios when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cubs are just 9-36 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Cubs are just 28-38 (.424) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Cubs are just 18-103 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Cubs are just 27-35 (.435) on the road this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Blue Jays are just 2-48 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Blue Jays are 52-2 (.963) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Blue Jays are 32-30 (.516) on the road this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Blue Jays are just 22-30 (.423) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs hitters have 723 strikeouts in 2,907 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 49 double plays in 350 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .380 (76 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .649.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .483 (5,886 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 2,198 strikeouts in 10,834 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .448 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 1,025 of 11,125 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 336 of 4,717 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 809 of 10,633 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Justin Steele (Cubs): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.