Cubs vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 14

Atlanta Braves' Matt Olson (28) runs to first base in the seventh inning of Game 2 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Monday, Oct. 9, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
(AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
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The Chicago Cubs (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on May 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Cubs are against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are ATS.

Cubs vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 1-1, 1.84 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 6-2, 2.22 ERA

Cubs vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -160O 7.5 -102+135
Braves -1.5 +135U 7.5 -118-160

Cubs vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Shaw has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+19.00 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Walks Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+13.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+12.90 Units / 143% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 40 games (+1.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+21.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+13.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+12.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Braves vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +350
Seiya Suzuki +450
Drake Baldwin +475
Austin Riley +475
Michael Harris II +525

Braves vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Michael Harris II 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ozzie Albies 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Austin Riley 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Braves vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Carson Kelly 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Matt Olson 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matthew Shaw 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Cubs are 7-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .624.

The Cubs are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Cubs are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Cubs are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .863.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Braves are 30-13 (.698) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Braves are 7-3 (.700) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Cubs (fourth in runs scored).

The Braves are 7-5 (.583) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Cubs (ninth in runs allowed).

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .275 (865 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .364 (496 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .379 (381 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .322 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .464 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .272 this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .453 this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (213.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .193 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 30 double plays in 277 opportunities (11%) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.35 runs per game (144/43) this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (382.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .205 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.