Cubs vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 26

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 26, 2022, 9:02 AM
  • The Brewers (65-58) are -150 favorites vs the Cubs (54-71)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Chicago Cubs (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Friday, August 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Cubs vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 53-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 48-72 ATS.

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -165O 7.5 -110+125
Brewers -1.5 +135U 7.5 -110-150

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 67.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+19.75 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+17.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 52 of his last 70 games (+16.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 31 of his last 61 games (+9.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Christian Yelich 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
    Keston Hiura 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
    Luis Urias 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

    Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
    Christian Yelich 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Hunter Renfroe 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Keston Hiura 0.5 -115 0.5 -125
    Luis Urias 0.5 -130 0.5 -110

    Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Christian Yelich 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
    Hunter Renfroe 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
    Keston Hiura 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
    Luis Urias 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

    Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Freddy Peralta 6.5 -110 6.5 -130
    Justin Steele 6.5 +110 6.5 -160
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 48 away games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 27 away games (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 48 away games (+4.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 58 of their last 103 games (+15.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+7.22 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+1.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 63-60 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -4.07% ROI).

    • 53-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -10.33% ROI
    • 53-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.75 Units / -11% ROI
    • 62-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 2.93% ROI

    Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 48-72 against the Run Line (-30.8 Units / -21.14% ROI).

    • 63-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -10.81% ROI
    • 60-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 0.83% ROI
    • 54-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.95 Units / -8.29% ROI

    Opponents are hitting just .133 (22-for-166) against Justin Steele’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 99th Percentile.

    Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .187 (31 Total Bases / 166 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .366 — 100th Percentile.

    Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .188 (30 Total Bases / 160 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .366 — 100th Percentile.

    Justin Steele has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.0 innings pitched — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 24.1.

    : Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents are hitting just .089 (38-for-428) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .166 — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .098 (39-for-400) against Freddy Peralta when ahead in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .187 — 100th Percentile.

    Left-handed batters are hitting just .158 (58-for-367) against Freddy Peralta since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

    Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .165 against Freddy Peralta since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.

    Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

    The Cubs are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

    The Cubs are just 18-101 (.151) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

    The Cubs are just 28-38 (.424) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

    The Cubs are just 8-36 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

    Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

    The Brewers are 6-45 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

    The Brewers are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

    The Brewers are 31-24 (.564) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

    The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    Cubs hitters are slugging just .156 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.

    Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 345 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Cubs are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .334.

    Cubs hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

    The Brewers are batting just .223 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    The Brewers are batting just .150 at home over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

    Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .680 (2,862 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.

    Brewers hitters have an OPS of .753 (3,330 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    Cubs pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

    Cubs pitchers have walked 1,011 of 11,001 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

    Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Brosseau (Brewers): Oblique, D10
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.