- The Brewers (65-58) are -150 favorites vs the Cubs (54-71)
- Cubs starting pitcher: , ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Chicago Cubs (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Friday, August 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cubs vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 53-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 48-72 ATS.
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -110 | +125 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -110 | -150 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s matchup with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -125 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Hunter Renfroe | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Keston Hiura | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Luis Urias | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -130 |
| Justin Steele | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 63-60 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -4.07% ROI).
- 53-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -10.33% ROI
- 53-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.75 Units / -11% ROI
- 62-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 2.93% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 48-72 against the Run Line (-30.8 Units / -21.14% ROI).
- 63-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -10.81% ROI
- 60-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 0.83% ROI
- 54-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.95 Units / -8.29% ROI
: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .133 (22-for-166) against Justin Steele’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .187 (31 Total Bases / 166 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .366 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .188 (30 Total Bases / 160 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .366 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.0 innings pitched — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 24.1.
: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .089 (38-for-428) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .166 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .098 (39-for-400) against Freddy Peralta when ahead in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .187 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .158 (58-for-367) against Freddy Peralta since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .165 against Freddy Peralta since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Cubs are just 18-101 (.151) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Cubs are just 28-38 (.424) at home this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Cubs are just 8-36 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 6-45 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Brewers are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Brewers are 31-24 (.564) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .156 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 345 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting .369 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Cubs hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .223 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Brewers are batting just .150 at home over the last 14 days (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .680 (2,862 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .753 (3,330 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,011 of 11,001 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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