- The Cubs are -115 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | FDWI
The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Monday, July 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 62-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 56-47 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 11-3, 2.20 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 4-1, 2.46 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -118 | -115 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -102 | -105 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Shaw has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+24.00 Units / 480% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+16.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 55% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 53 of their last 103 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 99 games (+12.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 100 games (+10.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+6.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 59 games (+21.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 101 games (+19.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 101 games (+13.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 101 games (+12.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 51-54 against the Run Line (-2.78 Units / -2.21% ROI).
- 62-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 6.66% ROI
- 53-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 47-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -9.85% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 56-47 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 1.61% ROI).
- 62-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.75 Units / 11.78% ROI
- 44-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.3 Units / -17.48% ROI
- 58-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.7 Units / 8.44% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd (CHC) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has picked-off 7 runners this season — most among among NL Starters — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has allowed an OPS of just .506 (180 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .663 — 95th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has picked-off 7 runners this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .178 (30-for-169) against Matthew Boyd when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 95th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob Misiorowski has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Matthew Boyd has the longest active streak at 23.2.
Jacob Misiorowski has a strikeout rate of 38% (21 SO in 56 PAs) this month (3 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (43/125) against Jacob Misiorowski this month (3 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Jacob Misiorowski has thrown 127 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 8th most among pitchers in MLB — 92nd Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are 29-24 (.547) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Cubs are 17-14 (.548) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Brewers (Ranks sixth runs scored) today.
The Cubs are 56-1 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Cubs are 27-6 (.818) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 44-6 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Brewers are 17-5 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Brewers are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Brewers are 62-43 (.590) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .460 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .784 (2,096 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Cubs hitters have struck out in just 21% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .927 (111 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 141 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,057 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .362 at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Brewers are batting .464 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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