- The Cubs are -102 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | FDWI | WITI
The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 62-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 57-47 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 8-4, 4.08 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 9-2, 3.27 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -220 | O 8.5 -105 | +105 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -115 | -125 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Shaw has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+23.00 Units / 383% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+25.00 Units / 278% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 60 of their last 101 games (+11.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 53 of their last 104 games (+11.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+11.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.30 Units / 19% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 60 games (+22.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 50 of their last 102 games (+20.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 102 games (+14.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 57 of their last 99 games (+11.89 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 51-55 against the Run Line (-3.78 Units / -2.99% ROI).
- 62-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 5.91% ROI
- 54-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.46% ROI
- 47-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -10.69% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 57-47 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 2.28% ROI).
- 63-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.75 Units / 12.43% ROI
- 45-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.3 Units / -16.46% ROI
- 58-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 7.41% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Quinn Priester (MIL) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Colin Rea (CHC) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .094 (3-for-32) against Colin Rea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (240/1,241) against Colin Rea in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .269 (114-for-424) against Colin Rea when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 11th Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of just .171 (35 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 93rd Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (15/115) against Quinn Priester’s non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (103/166) against Quinn Priester this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (24/166) against Quinn Priester this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (171/298) against Quinn Priester this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are 31-12 (.721) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Cubs are 27-7 (.794) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
The Cubs are 76-45 (.628) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cubs are just 2-32 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 23-3 (.885) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Brewers are 63-43 (.594) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 38-24 (.613) after a win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers are 17-5 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .291 (441 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Cubs hitters are slugging .456 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Cubs are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The Cubs are 31-12 (24.0% ROI) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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