- The Cubs are +100 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | FDWI
The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-120) on Wednesday, July 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 62-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 58-47 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 7-4, 3.12 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 12-4, 2.83 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -120 | +100 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -210 | U 7.5 +100 | -120 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Shaw has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+22.00 Units / 314% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+24.00 Units / 240% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 64% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 53 of their last 105 games (+10.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 60 of their last 102 games (+10.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 101 games (+10.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 51% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 61 games (+23.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 51 of their last 103 games (+21.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 33 games (+15.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 103 games (+15.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 100 games (+13.04 Units / 11% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 51-56 against the Run Line (-5.68 Units / -4.42% ROI).
- 62-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 5.23% ROI
- 55-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 3.29% ROI
- 47-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.7 Units / -11.56% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 58-47 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 3.4% ROI).
- 64-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.75 Units / 13.05% ROI
- 46-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -15.47% ROI
- 58-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.45 Units / 6.36% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (30/101) against Shota Imanaga in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (509/906) against Shota Imanaga this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed a slugging percentage of .786 (33 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% (1,327/2,632) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 57% (215/379) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has thrown just 44% of his pitches in the strike zone (933/2,099) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Freddy Peralta had a strike rate of just 58% (596/1,019) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has thrown just 32% of his pitches in the strike zone (256/803) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are 31-13 (.705) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Cubs are 29-26 (.527) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Cubs are 27-7 (.794) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .634.
The Cubs are 32-5 (.865) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 18-11 (.621) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Cubs (Ranks first runs scored) today.
The Brewers are 23-3 (.885) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Brewers are 46-6 (.885) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Brewers are 157-112 (.584) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .456 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Cubs are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Cubs hitters have struck out in just 21% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .248 (259 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting .432 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .277 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Brewers are batting .267 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have picked-off 14 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cubs pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this month (23 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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