- The Brewers (47-35) are -130 favorites vs the Cubs (32-48)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (4-6), 4.75 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (2-0), 3.81 ERA
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-130) on Tuesday, July 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cubs vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 32-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 37-45 ATS.
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -115 | +110 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -105 | -130 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 67.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.60 Units / 84% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan Davis | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Alexander | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -175 |
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+12.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+3.15 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+13.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 40-40 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -7.08% ROI).
- 32-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -15.26% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -4.3% ROI
- 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -4.32% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 37-45 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -9.37% ROI).
- 47-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.48% ROI
- 41-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 1.42% ROI
- 36-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -9.24% ROI
Kyle Hendricks: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.2 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .638 (44 Total Bases / 69 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .424 — third Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .572 (95 Total Bases / 166 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .289 (48-for-166) against Kyle Hendricks this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — sixth Percentile.
Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jason Alexander has limited playing time.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 0-38 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.
The Cubs are just 22-91 (.195) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Cubs are just 4-22 (.154) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Cubs are just 4-16 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 35-3 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Brewers are 5-29 (.147) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .107.
The Brewers are 20-15 (.571) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Brewers are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 40 double plays in 281 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting .396 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Cubs hitters have 605 strikeouts in 2,433 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Cubs have won just 59% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are slugging .556 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Brewers hitters have 571 strikeouts in 2,405 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 866 of 9,288 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Dustin Renfroe (Brewers): Calf, D10
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Back/Rib cage, Day-to-Day
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Willson Contreras (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
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