Cubs vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 05, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (47-35) are -130 favorites vs the Cubs (32-48)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (4-6), 4.75 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jason Alexander (2-0), 3.81 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-130) on Tuesday, July 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Cubs vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 32-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 37-45 ATS.

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -185O 9 -115+110
Brewers -1.5 +150U 9 -105-130

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 67.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.60 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)

Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Christian Yelich 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Jace Peterson 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Kolten Wong 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Christian Yelich 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jace Peterson 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Jonathan Davis 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Kolten Wong 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Christian Yelich 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jace Peterson 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Kolten Wong 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jason Alexander 3.5 +120 3.5 -175
Kyle Hendricks 3.5 -165 3.5 +120
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+12.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+3.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+13.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 40-40 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -7.08% ROI).

  • 32-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -15.26% ROI
  • 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -4.3% ROI
  • 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -4.32% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 37-45 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -9.37% ROI).

  • 47-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -1.48% ROI
  • 41-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 1.42% ROI
  • 36-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -9.24% ROI

Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.2 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .638 (44 Total Bases / 69 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .424 — third Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .572 (95 Total Bases / 166 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — second Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .289 (48-for-166) against Kyle Hendricks this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — sixth Percentile.

Jason Alexander: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jason Alexander has limited playing time.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cubs are just 0-38 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Cubs are just 22-91 (.195) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Cubs are just 4-22 (.154) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

The Cubs are just 4-16 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Brewers are 35-3 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Brewers are 5-29 (.147) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Brewers are 20-15 (.571) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Brewers are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 40 double plays in 281 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs are batting .396 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Cubs hitters have 605 strikeouts in 2,433 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Cubs have won just 59% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Brewers hitters are slugging .556 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.

Brewers hitters have 571 strikeouts in 2,405 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Brewers are batting just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 866 of 9,288 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Dustin Renfroe (Brewers): Calf, D10
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Back/Rib cage, Day-to-Day
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.