Cubs vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (47-36) are -275 favorites vs the Cubs (33-48)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson (0-0), 3.37 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (7-4), 2.35 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSWI

The Chicago Cubs (+220) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-275) on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Cubs vs Brewers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 33-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 37-46 ATS.

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 +105O 7.5 -115+220
Brewers -1.5 -125U 7.5 -105-275

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 60.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Brewers vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+7.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Yan Gomes has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tyrone Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.65 Units / 44% ROI)

Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jace Peterson 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Kolten Wong 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Luis Urias 0.5 +340 0.5 -650

Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Jace Peterson 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Jonathan Davis 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Kolten Wong 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Luis Urias 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Yelich 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jace Peterson 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jonathan Davis 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Kolten Wong 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Luis Urias 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Burnes 8.5 +100 8.5 -145
Adrian Sampson 3.5 -175 3.5 +120
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 away games (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+14.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 41-40 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -6.03% ROI).

  • 33-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -13.81% ROI
  • 40-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -3.13% ROI
  • 39-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -5.55% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 37-46 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -10.28% ROI).

  • 47-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -2.53% ROI
  • 42-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 2.49% ROI
  • 36-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -10.39% ROI

Opponents batted .348 (8-for-23) against Adrian Sampson — tied for 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .228 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 68% (13/19) against Adrian Sampson — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

The hardest ball hit off of Adrian Sampson was 115.2 MPH — tied for 5th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 108.5

Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (232/414) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (48/111) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (166/422) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has struck out 33% (61/183) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cubs are just 0-38 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Cubs are 113-4 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Cubs are just 5-16 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.

The Cubs are just 16-92 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Brewers are 5-30 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Brewers are 27-20 (.574) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Brewers are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Brewers are 35-3 (.921) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Cubs are batting .399 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 40 double plays in 281 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging .644 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .578.

Cubs hitters are slugging .680 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Brewers hitters are slugging .556 on the road over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Dustin Renfroe (Brewers): Calf, D10
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Back/Rib cage, Day-to-Day
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.