- The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: TBS | HBOM
The Chicago Cubs (118) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on Saturday, October 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:08pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 94-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 85-74 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 14-8, 3.19 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 17-6, 2.71 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -115 | 118 |
| Brewers | -1.5 155 | U 7.5 -105 | -145 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+21.90 Units / 313% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+9.65 Units / 107% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 83% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+18.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+10.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Freddy Peralta has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.30 Units / 50% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 85 of their last 163 games (+20.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 112 games (+14.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 89 of their last 161 games (+8.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 116 games (+28.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 79 of their last 158 games (+22.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 91 of their last 155 games (+21.99 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 93 of their last 158 games (+19.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 88 games (+18.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 77-88 against the Run Line (-10.98 Units / -5.55% ROI).
- 94-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 1.59% ROI
- 75-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.85 Units / -7.08% ROI
- 80-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -1.35% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 85-74 against the Run Line (+7.45 Units / 3.57% ROI).
- 97-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.1 Units / 10.76% ROI
- 77-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.9 Units / -6.63% ROI
- 80-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -2.46% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd (CHC) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +120 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .434 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .887 (222 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Cubs hitters are slugging .441 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .752 (1,589 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The Brewers have a winning percentage of 56% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 13% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .330 (4,406 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,227 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
Cubs hitters are slugging .434 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .887 (222 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Cubs hitters are slugging .441 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .752 (1,589 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers have a winning percentage of 56% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 13% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .330 (4,406 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,227 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .434 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .887 (222 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Cubs hitters are slugging .441 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .752 (1,589 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers have a winning percentage of 56% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 13% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .330 (4,406 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,227 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .434 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .887 (222 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Cubs hitters are slugging .441 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .752 (1,589 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Brewers have a winning percentage of 56% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 13% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .330 (4,406 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,227 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
