Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 02, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (54-48) are -175 favorites vs the Cubs (41-60)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (8-4), 3.15 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (7-8), 3.28 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Chicago Cubs (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 41-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 55-47 ATS.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -140O 8.5 -115+145
Cardinals -1.5 +115U 8.5 -105-175

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 73.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 48 games (+19.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 53 games (+14.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+14.05 Units / 71% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 34 games at home (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games at home (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 32 games at home (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 68% ROI)

Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Knizner 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Knizner 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -185 0.5 +130

Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Knizner 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Wainwright 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
Keegan Thompson 4.5 +110 4.5 -160
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 100 games (+9.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 38 away games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 74 games (+6.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 79 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-49 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -4.29% ROI).

  • 41-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -13.14% ROI
  • 44-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -10.65% ROI
  • 51-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 2.61% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 55-47 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 3.76% ROI).

  • 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.27% ROI
  • 47-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -8.61% ROI
  • 51-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.45% ROI

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (4/19) against Keegan Thompson — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — 96th Percentile.

Keegan Thompson had a strike rate of 71% (69/97) — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.

48% of Keegan Thompson’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 89th Percentile.

Keegan Thompson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (12 Total Bases / 48 ABs) in late innings this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .394 — 90th Percentile.

Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 37% of Adam Wainwright’s fastballs (294/791) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (83/429) against Adam Wainwright this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 32% (111/345) against Adam Wainwright with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (54/318) against Adam Wainwright this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are just 20-32 (.385) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Cubs are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Cubs are just 8-10 (.444) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are just 7-20 (.259) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Cardinals are just 3-38 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Cardinals are just 13-38 (.255) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Cardinals are 31-7 (.816) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Cubs hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Cubs hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Cubs have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 542 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .361 (90 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Cubs pitchers have walked 934 of 10,087 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 97 double plays in 745 opportunities (13%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.