- The Cardinals (54-48) are -175 favorites vs the Cubs (41-60)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (8-4), 3.15 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (7-8), 3.28 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Chicago Cubs (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 41-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 55-47 ATS.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -115 | +145 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -105 | -175 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 73.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 48 games (+19.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 53 games (+14.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+14.05 Units / 71% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 34 games at home (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games at home (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 32 games at home (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 68% ROI)
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
| Keegan Thompson | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 100 games (+9.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 38 away games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 74 games (+6.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.15 Units / 45% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 44 of their last 79 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-49 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -4.29% ROI).
- 41-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -13.14% ROI
- 44-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -10.65% ROI
- 51-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 2.61% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 55-47 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 3.76% ROI).
- 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.27% ROI
- 47-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -8.61% ROI
- 51-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.45% ROI
Keegan Thompson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (4/19) against Keegan Thompson — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — 96th Percentile.
Keegan Thompson had a strike rate of 71% (69/97) — 4th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
48% of Keegan Thompson’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 89th Percentile.
Keegan Thompson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (12 Total Bases / 48 ABs) in late innings this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .394 — 90th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 37% of Adam Wainwright’s fastballs (294/791) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (83/429) against Adam Wainwright this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 32% (111/345) against Adam Wainwright with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (54/318) against Adam Wainwright this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 20-32 (.385) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Cubs are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Cubs are just 8-10 (.444) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 7-20 (.259) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Cardinals are just 3-38 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Cardinals are just 13-38 (.255) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Cardinals are 31-7 (.816) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Cubs hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cubs hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Cubs have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Cardinals hitters have 227 extra-base hits out of 542 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .361 (90 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 934 of 10,087 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 97 double plays in 745 opportunities (13%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
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