- The Cardinals (55-48) are -175 favorites vs the Cubs (41-61)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (4-7), 3.85 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (8-8), 2.85 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Chicago Cubs (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 41-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 56-47 ATS.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -140 | O 8 +100 | +145 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -120 | -175 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 75.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 49 games (+17.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 away games (+15.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 54 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+10.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games at home (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 33 games at home (+9.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +110 |
| Justin Steele | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 101 games (+10.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 75 games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 away games (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+11.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-50 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -5.37% ROI).
- 41-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -13.91% ROI
- 44-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -11.57% ROI
- 52-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 3.47% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 56-47 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 4.73% ROI).
- 55-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.49% ROI
- 47-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -9.53% ROI
- 52-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.44% ROI
Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (173/402) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .132 (17-for-129) against Justin Steele’s curve and slider this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 97th Percentile.
Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 50% (45 SO in 90 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (22/65) against Justin Steele with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (68/402) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of just .204 (93 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .307 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .231 (12-for-52) against Miles Mikolas on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (33/193) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 20-32 (.385) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Cubs are just 2-47 (.041) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Cubs are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Cubs are just 23-96 (.193) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 47-17 (.734) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Cardinals are 32-7 (.821) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Cardinals are just 13-38 (.255) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Cardinals are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 312 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .645.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .344 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,034 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .656 at home over the last 14 days (1 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 937 of 10,122 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 98 double plays in 753 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
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