Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 03, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (55-48) are -175 favorites vs the Cubs (41-61)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (4-7), 3.85 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (8-8), 2.85 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Chicago Cubs (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 41-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 56-47 ATS.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -140O 8 +100+145
Cardinals -1.5 +115U 8 -120-175

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 75.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 49 games (+17.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 away games (+15.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 54 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games at home (+10.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games at home (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 33 games at home (+9.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +825 0.5 -3000
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +275 0.5 -450

Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +110 0.5 -155

Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miles Mikolas 4.5 -160 4.5 +110
Justin Steele 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 101 games (+10.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 75 games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 away games (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+11.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 17% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-50 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -5.37% ROI).

  • 41-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -13.91% ROI
  • 44-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -11.57% ROI
  • 52-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 3.47% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 56-47 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 4.73% ROI).

  • 55-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.49% ROI
  • 47-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -9.53% ROI
  • 52-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.44% ROI

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (173/402) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .132 (17-for-129) against Justin Steele’s curve and slider this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 97th Percentile.

Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 50% (45 SO in 90 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (22/65) against Justin Steele with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (68/402) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of just .204 (93 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .307 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .231 (12-for-52) against Miles Mikolas on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (33/193) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are just 20-32 (.385) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Cubs are just 2-47 (.041) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Cubs are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

The Cubs are just 23-96 (.193) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are 47-17 (.734) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Cardinals are 32-7 (.821) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Cardinals are just 13-38 (.255) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Cardinals are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 312 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .645.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .344 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,034 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .656 at home over the last 14 days (1 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 937 of 10,122 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 98 double plays in 753 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.