- The Cubs are -105 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Thursday, July 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 50-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 52-51 ATS.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -115 | -105 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -105 | -115 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+19.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+17.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+16.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+15.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+15.15 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+12.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+12.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 35 games (+11.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 38% ROI)
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Taylor Motter | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 53-48 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 1.88% ROI).
- 50-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -2.77% ROI
- 53-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 4.32% ROI
- 43-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -15 Units / -13.6% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 52-51 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -1.61% ROI).
- 46-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.25 Units / -18.99% ROI
- 51-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.53% ROI
- 47-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -7.76% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .242 (61-for-252) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 32% (86 SO in 268 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 23% (32 SO in 140 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (159/1,003) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
keys to the game – away
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
keys to the game – home
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .468 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Cubs are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,063 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .325 (7,865 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals hitters have just 1,604 strikeouts in 7,865 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .743 (7,865 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (2,449 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% against Cubs pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 61 of 910 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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