- The Cubs are -110 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-110) on Saturday, July 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 52-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 52-53 ATS.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | O 10 -115 | -110 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -175 | U 10 -105 | -110 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 28 games (+20.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+19.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+17.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+16.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+16.10 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+12.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Taylor Motter has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Adam Wainwright | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +115 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+12.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 away games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+6.15 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+1.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 55-48 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 3.35% ROI).
- 52-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -0.86% ROI
- 54-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 4.2% ROI
- 44-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -13.49% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 52-53 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -3.07% ROI).
- 46-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.95 Units / -20.6% ROI
- 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -0.56% ROI
- 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -7.78% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 67% (24/36) against Jameson Taillon with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 81% of Jameson Taillon’s pitches (56/69) with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 14 of 580 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has induced opposing hitters to ground into 2 double plays in 6 opportunities (33%) — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Wainwright has allowed an OPS of 1.125 (125 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .750 — first Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has an average fastball velocity of just 86.9 MPH this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .352 (88-for-250) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (138/444) against Adam Wainwright since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 6-38 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Cubs are just 2-116 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 27-8 (.771) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Cardinals are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Cardinals are 12-8 (.600) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .466 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 338 extra-base hits out of 820 total hits (41%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .787 (2,319 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .261 (5,353 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (2,449 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 14% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cubs pitchers since the 2021 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Edman (Cardinals): Wrist, D10
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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