Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 30

St. Louis Cardinals' Jordan Walker warms up before a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
AP Photo/Aaron Gash
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  • The Cardinals are -118 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cubs / Cardinals TV Channel: MARQ | CATV

The Chicago Cubs (-102) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-118) on July 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Cubs are against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are ATS.

Cubs vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 6-1, 3.84 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 11-6, 3.78 ERA

Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -200O 8.5 -105-102
Cardinals -1.5 +165U 8.5 -115-118

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.80 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+10.80 Units / 154% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+10.55 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jose Fermin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+12.00 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+15.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+2.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+1.40 Units / 2% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jordan Walker +390
Pete Crow-Armstrong +400
JJ Wetherholt +500
Alec Burleson +500
Seiya Suzuki +525

Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alex Bregman 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Busch 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jimmy Crooks 0.5 -160 0.5 +120
Andre Pallante 3.5 -160 3.5 +120
Javier Assad 2.5 -150 2.5 +110
Jordan Walker 0.5 -150 0.5 +110

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are 25-12 (.676) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Cardinals (16th in runs scored).

The Cubs are 26-1 (.963) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Cubs are 46-3 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Cubs are 4-43 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are just 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Cardinals are just 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Cardinals are just 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Cubs have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Cubs have scored first in just 38% of their games against division opponents this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Cubs have scored in at least three different innings in 52% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Cardinals have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season — lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals have hit 1,156 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater this season — 2nd most in MLB.

The Cardinals have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 1,156 Hard Hits this season — 2nd most in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH this season (2,768 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB

Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (2,768 batted balls) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH (2,828 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 721 times this season — 3rd most in MLB.

The Cardinals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.