Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Chicago Cubs () visit London Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in London.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Cubs are against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are ATS.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs O
Cardinals U

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 74.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Marcus Stroman has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.45 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+12.45 Units / 49% ROI)

Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Christopher Morel 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Tommy Edman 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 1.5 +155 1.5 -200
Seiya Suzuki 1.5 +140 1.5 -185
Christopher Morel 1.5 +185 1.5 -250
Tommy Edman 1.5 +145 1.5 -190
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +105 1.5 -140

Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Christopher Morel 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Tommy Edman 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Wainwright 3.5 +115 3.5 -150
Justin Steele 3.5 -160 3.5 +125
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 71 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 51% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (148/292) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.7 MPH (206 batted balls) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 89.3 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (42/169) against Justin Steele against right-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (522/727) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (869/1,505) when behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 29% (5/17) of opposing batters over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has averaged 88.1 MPH on fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has an average fastball velocity of just 86.9 MPH this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 0 Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are just 18-27 (.400) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.

The Cubs are just 13-21 (.382) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are 28-14 (.667) after a win as favorites since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .598.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are just 24-5 (.828) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Cardinals are 25-7 (.781) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Cardinals are just 21-8 (.724) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.13 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Cubs are batting just .284 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .736 (7,041 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .336 (1,997 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .786 (1,997 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 45 of 655 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.1 MPH (1,846 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 37% against the Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Cardinals have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Helsley (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
  • Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
  • Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
  • Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
  • Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Wrist, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.