- The Cardinals (40-32) are -165 favorites vs the Cubs (26-44)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (2-6), 5.42 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (2-2), 1.68 ERA
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-165) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 26-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 40-32 ATS.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -115 | +140 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +115 | U 9 -105 | -165 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 66.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+8.75 Units / 95% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.65 Units / 93% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Harrison Bader | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +105 |
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -185 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+15.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+5.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 34-36 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -9.85% ROI).
- 26-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -21.46% ROI
- 35-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.36% ROI
- 33-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -6.89% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 40-32 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 5.63% ROI).
- 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.41% ROI
- 37-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 3.21% ROI
- 31-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -11.99% ROI
Kyle Hendricks: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.8 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .601 (86 Total Bases / 143 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .779 (60 Total Bases / 77 ABs) versus the heart of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of .970 (162 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — second Percentile.
Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 6% (4/67) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante has a strikeout rate of just 5% (2 SO in 40 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Andre Pallante has struck out just 12% (10/80) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (82/131) against Andre Pallante this season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 2-22 (.083) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Cubs are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Cubs are just 2-15 (.118) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Cubs are just 19-2 (.905) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Cardinals are 16-3 (.842) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Cardinals are 24-5 (.828) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Cardinals are 49-2 (.961) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 578 strikeouts in 2,338 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .170 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 267 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have 1,627 strikeouts in 6,303 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 179 extra-base hits out of 415 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 487 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Cardinals are batting just .173 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,806 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 8% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Cubs have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have walked 65 of 638 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 193 of 2,057 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
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