Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (40-32) are -165 favorites vs the Cubs (26-44)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (2-6), 5.42 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Neil Pallante (2-2), 1.68 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-165) on Friday, June 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 26-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 40-32 ATS.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -140O 9 -115+140
Cardinals -1.5 +115U 9 -105-165

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 66.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+8.75 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.50 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.65 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)

Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Knizner 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Harrison Bader 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Juan Yepez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Knizner 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Harrison Bader 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Juan Yepez 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Knizner 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Harrison Bader 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Juan Yepez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andre Pallante 3.5 -145 3.5 +105
Kyle Hendricks 3.5 +125 3.5 -185
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+15.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+5.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 34-36 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -9.85% ROI).

  • 26-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -21.46% ROI
  • 35-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -1.36% ROI
  • 33-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -6.89% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 40-32 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 5.63% ROI).

  • 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.41% ROI
  • 37-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 3.21% ROI
  • 31-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -11.99% ROI

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.8 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .601 (86 Total Bases / 143 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .779 (60 Total Bases / 77 ABs) versus the heart of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of .970 (162 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — second Percentile.

Neil Pallante: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 6% (4/67) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Andre Pallante has a strikeout rate of just 5% (2 SO in 40 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Andre Pallante has struck out just 12% (10/80) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (82/131) against Andre Pallante this season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are just 2-22 (.083) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Cubs are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Cubs are just 2-15 (.118) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

The Cubs are just 19-2 (.905) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .923.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are 32-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Cardinals are 16-3 (.842) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Cardinals are 24-5 (.828) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Cardinals are 49-2 (.961) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

Cubs hitters have 578 strikeouts in 2,338 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .170 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 267 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have 1,627 strikeouts in 6,303 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals hitters have 179 extra-base hits out of 415 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 487 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Cardinals are batting just .173 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,806 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Cubs have won just 8% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Cubs have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 65 of 638 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 193 of 2,057 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy McFarland (Cardinals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.