Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

Corbin Carroll Diamondbacks
AP Photo/Alex Brandon
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  • The Cubs are -110 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Cubs vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
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The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) on August 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Cubs are 76-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 70-58 ATS.

Cubs vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 5-6, 2.50 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 7-1, 3.39 ERA

Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +145O 8 +100-110
Diamondbacks +1.5 -175U 8 -120-110

Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+20.60 Units / 294% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.60 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+8.80 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.60 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+19.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 away games (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.50 Units / 15% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 64-66 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / 1.36% ROI).

  • 76-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 2.67% ROI
  • 71-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 4.68% ROI
  • 59-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.55 Units / -12.77% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 70-58 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 0.57% ROI).

  • 69-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 4.58% ROI
  • 57-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.05 Units / -13.06% ROI
  • 69-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 4.67% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Crow-Armstrong +325
Seiya Suzuki +500
Mike Busch +525
Corbin Carroll +525
Ian Happ +525

Diamondbacks vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Mike Busch 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Waldschmidt 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Mike Busch 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Michael Conforto 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jordan Lawlar 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Tim Tawa 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Cubs are 6-51 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 18-22 (.450) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 41-5 (.891) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 34-3 (.919) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Diamondbacks are 60-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are just 110-25 (.815) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 8-119 (.063) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Cubs hitters are slugging .452 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .356 (1,382 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .809 (1,382 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .452 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .298 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 21 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 37% of the time this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.