- The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Chicago Cubs (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cubs vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-7 ATS.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -105 | +125 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -115 | -150 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.40 Units / 125% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+6.10 Units / 76% ROI)
Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.65 Units / 46% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 7-5 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 14.71% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 17.28% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 11.41% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -21.05% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.66% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -20.5% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 15.71% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -23.53% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 10 of 425 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .541 (145 Total Bases / 268 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .413 — fourth Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 45% (9/20) against Jameson Taillon when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (88/259) against Jameson Taillon when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .571 (12-for-21) against Michael Grove on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 0 Percentile.
Michael Grove has an ERA of 14.73 (7.1 IP)this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 4.60 — first Percentile.
Michael Grove has allowed a BABIP of .519 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (14-for-35) against Michael Grove this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .256 — fourth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cubs are just 35-21 (.625) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .811.
The Cubs are just 61-44 (.581) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Cubs are just 19-106 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Cubs are just 7-68 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Dodgers are 26-15 (.634) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .963 (136 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Cubs are batting .331 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .393 (136 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Cubs have scored 8.67 runs per game (26/3) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.73.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting just .179 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Dodgers hitters have 171 extra-base hits out of 359 total hits (48%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Dodgers hitters have 54 extra-base hits out of 107 total hits (51%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (4,915 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 99 opportunities (6%) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 28 of 512 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.15 runs per game (277/88) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (777.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Dodgers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
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