- The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago Cubs (+185) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Cubs vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-8 ATS.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -105 | O 8 -105 | +185 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -115 | U 8 -115 | -225 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eric Hosmer has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.45 Units / 89% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+6.30 Units / 126% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games at home (+6.25 Units / 125% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+6.10 Units / 106% ROI)
Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Smyly | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Julio Urias | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 8-5 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 19.29% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 9.25% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 3.53% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -12.41% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 7-8 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -6.85% ROI).
- 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -15.75% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 8.73% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -15.76% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
22 of Drew Smyly’s 78 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (866/1,983) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (74/150) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (79/169) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (175/521) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (19/44) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Julio Urias has a strikeout rate of 30% (20 SO in 66 PAs) this season — 15th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 86th Percentile.
Julio Urias has walked 1 of 55 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cubs are just 22-11 (.667) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Cubs are just 33-25 (.569) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Cubs are just 27-29 (.482) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Cubs are just 10-45 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Dodgers are 27-16 (.628) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Dodgers are just 1-3 (.250) when underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .293 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Cubs hitters have chased just 12% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .415 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .397 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (4,950 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 23 walks in 135 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (4,950 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,181 of 12,855 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 34 of 547 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (1703.0 IP) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
The Dodgers have allowed 3.15 runs per game (277/88) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.83 (777.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Dodgers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Ankle, D15
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- William Smith (Dodgers): Concussion, D7
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D15
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
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