Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 07, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (52-29) are -275 favorites vs the Cubs (34-48)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Mark Leiter Jr. (2-2), 4.85 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (10-0), 1.54 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The Chicago Cubs (+225) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Thursday, July 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).

The Cubs vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 34-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 47-34 ATS.

Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+2.5 -135O 8 +100+225
Dodgers -2.5 +110U 8 -120-275

Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 34 away games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Yan Gomes has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 11 away games (+5.60 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 44 games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.30 Units / 75% ROI)

Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Gavin Lux 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Jake Lamb 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Justin Turner 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Jake Lamb 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Justin Turner 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Max Muncy 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Gavin Lux 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jake Lamb 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Justin Turner 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tony Gonsolin 5.5 -140 5.5 +100
Leiter Jr. 2.5 -190 2.5 +130
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+12.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+7.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 81 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 77 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 28% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 42-40 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -4.99% ROI).

  • 34-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -11.14% ROI
  • 40-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -4.21% ROI
  • 40-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -4.37% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 47-34 against the Run Line (+9.9 Units / 10.29% ROI).

  • 52-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -4.38% ROI
  • 30-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -20.8% ROI
  • 44-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 11.99% ROI

68% of Mark Leiter strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — tied for 13th highest among among 226 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 50% — 94th Percentile.

Mark Leiter has walked 11 of 88 batters (12%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 15th highest among among 104 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 14th Percentile.

Mark Leiter has a strikeout rate of 54% (21 SO in 39 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 11th best among among 139 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 56% (13/23) against Mark Leiter with two-strikes — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 92nd Percentile.

Anthony Gonsolin: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .106 (20-for-188) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .097 (15-for-154) against Tony Gonsolin’s changeup since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .156 (44-for-282) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .078 (4-for-51) against Tony Gonsolin with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cubs are just 6-27 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Cubs are just 16-92 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Cubs are 113-4 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Cubs are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .082.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Dodgers are just 3-17 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Dodgers are 105-45 (.700) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Dodgers are 20-73 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 26-16 (.619) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Cubs are batting .398 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Cubs hitters have 611 strikeouts in 2,448 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 40 double plays in 284 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have 1,712 strikeouts in 6,674 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .334 (6,597 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,667 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 872 of 9,358 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,842 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,842 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Dodgers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.