- The Dodgers (52-29) are -275 favorites vs the Cubs (34-48)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Mark Leiter Jr. (2-2), 4.85 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (10-0), 1.54 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Chicago Cubs (+225) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Thursday, July 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Cubs vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 34-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 47-34 ATS.
Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +2.5 -135 | O 8 +100 | +225 |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +110 | U 8 -120 | -275 |
Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 34 away games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Yan Gomes has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 11 away games (+5.60 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 44 games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.30 Units / 75% ROI)
Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jake Lamb | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Freddie Freeman | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jake Lamb | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jake Lamb | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Gonsolin | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +100 |
| Leiter Jr. | 2.5 -190 | 2.5 +130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+12.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+7.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 81 games (+10.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 77 games (+6.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 28% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 42-40 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -4.99% ROI).
- 34-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -11.14% ROI
- 40-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -4.21% ROI
- 40-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -4.37% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 47-34 against the Run Line (+9.9 Units / 10.29% ROI).
- 52-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -4.38% ROI
- 30-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -20.8% ROI
- 44-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.7 Units / 11.99% ROI
Mark Leiter Jr.: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
68% of Mark Leiter strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — tied for 13th highest among among 226 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 50% — 94th Percentile.
Mark Leiter has walked 11 of 88 batters (12%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 15th highest among among 104 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 14th Percentile.
Mark Leiter has a strikeout rate of 54% (21 SO in 39 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 11th best among among 139 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 56% (13/23) against Mark Leiter with two-strikes — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 92nd Percentile.
Anthony Gonsolin: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .106 (20-for-188) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .097 (15-for-154) against Tony Gonsolin’s changeup since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .156 (44-for-282) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .078 (4-for-51) against Tony Gonsolin with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Cubs are just 6-27 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Cubs are just 16-92 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Cubs are 113-4 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Cubs are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .082.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Dodgers are just 3-17 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Dodgers are 105-45 (.700) at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Dodgers are 20-73 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 26-16 (.619) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .398 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Cubs hitters have 611 strikeouts in 2,448 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 40 double plays in 284 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have 1,712 strikeouts in 6,674 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .334 (6,597 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .763 (1,667 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 872 of 9,358 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,842 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,842 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Dodgers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Willson Contreras (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
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